In the world: Agriculture

Agriculture

• Rural credit and interest: the Selic falls, defaults remain

  The Selic fell to 13.75% in September 2026, but the Central Bank expects high risk in rural credit to individuals. What this means for those who produce.

• A very strong El Niño in 2026: what changes for the harvest

  After the weak La Niña of 2025/26, Inmet sees a more than 90% chance of a very strong El Niño in 2026/27. What it means for the harvest and for prices.

• Brazil's Ceasas moved R$ 68.7 billion in 2025

  According to Conab, 54 Ceasas sold 16.6 million tonnes of fruit and vegetables in 2025, worth R$ 68.7 billion. What the numbers say about the grower.

• Plano Safra 2026/27: R$ 525 billion and lower interest

  The 2026/27 Plano Safra has R$ 525.1 billion for commercial agriculture and operating credit at 12.5% a year. Why credit still doesn't reach small growers.

• CPR, B3 and tokenization: agribusiness's new credit

  The CPR became the engine of private agribusiness credit, with record stock and retail offerings on B3. What tokenization adds and what the CVM requires.

• Mercosur–EU deal: provisional application and what's left

  The Mercosur–EU agreement has applied provisionally since 05/01/2026, while the European Parliament awaits a CJEU opinion. What it means for agribusiness.

• Agribusiness GDP grows 12.2% in 2025, says Cepea

  Brazil's agribusiness GDP grew 12.2% in 2025 to R$ 3.2 trillion, 25.13% of the economy, according to Cepea and CNA. Who keeps that growth.

• Agribusiness exports to China hit a record in 2025

  Brazilian agribusiness exported US$ 169.2 billion in 2025, and China bought US$ 55.3 billion, 32.7% of the total. What this dependence means for growers.

• Mercosur and the EU: what changes for CEASA produce

  The Mercosur–EU agreement, signed on 01/17/2026, zeroes tariffs on fruit such as grapes, lemons and melons. What it changes for CEASA growers and sellers.

• Credit for small growers: what the reporting shows

  Bloomberg, Reuters and Forbes Agro show rural credit getting more expensive and restricted in 2025 and 2026. What it says about the small grower's place.

• Plano Safra 2025/26: R$ 516 billion at higher interest

  The 2025/26 Plano Safra offered R$ 516.2 billion to commercial agriculture, with operating credit at 14% a year and the Selic at 15%. What it cost farmers.

• Food waste at the wholesale supply centers

  The UN estimates 1.05 billion tonnes of food wasted in 2022 and 13% lost before retail. Where Brazil's wholesale supply centers fit into the picture.